Caledonia County, Lamoille County, Montpelier, News

New data shows local counties closing child care gap

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MONTPELIER – An analysis released by First Children’s Finance shows measurable progress in expanding access to full-day, full-year child care across Vermont, while making clear that ongoing shortfalls continue to constrain workforce participation and business growth.

The new analysis finds Vermont closed the gap between supply and demand by 1,992 full-time spaces between 2024 and 2026. That progress comes amid modest demographic shifts.

Demand for child care declined by about 8 percent over the same period, driven by a smaller population of young children, not by reduced workforce participation among parents. Statewide, access now meets the needs of approximately 40 percent of infants, 70 percent of toddlers, and 69 percent of preschoolers likely to require full-time care, underscoring both meaningful progress and ongoing challenges.

The analysis also shows that child care access varies widely across Vermont, reinforcing the importance of local and regional planning. Six counties, Addison, Bennington, Caledonia, Chittenden, Lamoille, and Windsor, now have enough capacity to serve at least 75 percent of toddlers and preschoolers needing care. Of these, Bennington, Caledonia, and Chittenden also meet the needs of at least half of infants, highlighting progress that spans multiple age groups.

For employers, regional gaps directly impact workforce participation. Some regions demonstrate how strategic alignment between child care investment and economic development goals can ease these pressures. In Caledonia County, access has improved across age groups, including for infants, offering a model for other Vermont communities.

Annie McLean of the Northeastern Vermont Development Association said, “Caledonia County’s experience demonstrates that meaningful progress on child care supply is possible. By supporting child care as economic infrastructure, communities can reduce workforce barriers and create the conditions needed for local businesses to thrive and grow.”

Nearly half of the remaining unmet need is for infant care (birth to 24 months), the most labor-intensive and expensive child care to provide. Access has improved since 2024, but infant care remains the single largest driver of Vermont’s supply-demand gap, with direct implications for when and whether parents can return to work.

“When child care doesn’t work for families, it doesn’t work for employers,” said Erin Roche, Vermont Director for First Children’s Finance. “Understanding where families need child care will inform future investments – that’s why I’m so proud of the county and municipal level analysis we were able to do this year.”

The full Vermont Supply and Demand Gap Analysis and several supplemental briefs are available at firstchildrensfinance.org/vermont.

Erin Roche

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